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Tampilkan postingan dengan label Forex Strategy. Tampilkan semua postingan
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Minggu, 21 September 2008

Trading Strategies to Help You With Forex

To play in the world's largest financial market you need to be well educated and have experience. To succeed in the forex market you will need commitment, discipline and patience. Many buyers and sellers like the fact that this market is all about free competition and free from external control. Everyday a couple of trillion dollars worth of transactions take place in this foreign exchange market which happen in a 24 hour period.

In the forex market, trading successfully is not at all easy. You need have time, market understanding, knowledge and a lot of self restraint. There is no consistency in this fast market. In order to be a successful trader, you have to understand technical and fundamental data and your decisions will be based on your perception of market sentiment. Even if you have to loose sometimes, don't feel defeated because even the experienced trader can not generate returns on every trade.

If you are doubtful about a trade, don't trade. The forex market is very fast paced and can become addicting at times. It invovles money...your money. It would be nice to win at every trade but this doesn't happen. Be prepared for loses at times. Trade with money you can afford to lose and not with the kids meal money. Don't trade if you have limited funds.

Trading without having the entire amount of capital to do so is called margin trading. It allows for large leverage and trading at full margin capacity may result in profits as well as losses. So be very cautious and do not trade in a volume that can totally wipe out your money.

Trading in Forex is all about timing and money. Correct timing or timing your move is a very important factor to make good money. Often, traders are too early or too late when they enter the market and they have to bear the loss. It is important to be aware of the different time periods when many financial centers enter and exit from the market because it has great impact on the market movements.

There are some important trading strategies that take advantage of what other traders use to predict their trades. These tools include the Elliot Wave Theory, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Fibonacci retracement. These tools can help you in earning more money.

Learning from others is the best option to get educated in forex trading. Watch what other traders do who are involved in forex trading and also go and find forums about forex. Taking advice from professionals who have expertise in the forex market can be the smartest of forex trading strategies.

Psychology of Trading Strategy (Psycho-Strategy)

What’s the Psychology of Trading Strategy (Psycho-Strategy)?

I’m sure you understand that the Psycho-strategy is a mere metaphor, however we are going to use the same Forex terminology to describe our hypothetical strategy.

The Psycho-strategy is the mind frame you have to set your mind to if you want to make constantly profit in the world of Forex. It’s the way you have to think and feel in the three stages of the trade; before opening a trade, while the trade is running and after closing the trade.

The first thing I have to advice you before reading this article is that you have to to believe that using the Psycho-strategy is not less important than using your technical and fundamental strategies if not important! if you can’t totally believe that I recommend you to skip this article and continue with your favorite technical and fundamental venerable strategies.

The Psychology of Trading Strategy (Psycho-strategy) setup:

The the Psycho-strategy uses three indicators: Discipline indicator, Greedy oscillator and Fear oscillator.We use these indicators not to tell us when to enter the market (there are much better techniques to enter the marker where the Psycho-strategy can help) but we are using them to refine our overall trading practice hence our success in the Forex world.

Let’s start with the most important indicator; the Discipline indicator:

Discipline indicator:

It is unquestionable that nobody could achieve a goal if he have not already set this goal. Give the best archer the best tools and tell him to shot aimless target! what do you think he will do?
In the Forex (and in live un general) you have to define your goal and keep it obvious if you want to achieve it. For example you have to determine how many pips you want to gain daily, weekly and monthly from your trading.

Your goal have to be realistic, attainable and measurable: realistic goal means you have to set a goal that is not impossible for you and anybody to achieve, for example you can be a millionaire from trading Forex for few weeks or months. attainable goal means you can easily achieve the goal for example gaining 100 pips daily is not impossible in Forex trading so it’s a realistic goal but 25 pips per day is more attainable goal, get it?

The goal you have set have to be measurable which means you can easily say I’ve achieved my goal of today or this month. Goals like “I want to be a millionaire or I want to get the maximum pips the market could offer” are not measurable goals.

The first line in the Discipline indicator is the Goal line, the second line in the Discipline indicator is the Rules line.

Any successful person has his set of rules which he extremely bind himself to it, you too have to set you trading rules and obey them to the end, for example one of successful traders rules “Set stop loss before trade”.

You have to discover your trading rules and more important to obey them to the end, of course you can change this rules occasionally (i.e. every six months you have to review your trading rules) but once you have set them you can’t change them “Rules couldn’t’ be changed while playing the game”.

The Discipline indicator now has two lines: Goal line and Rules line; these lines have to be unbreakable, untouchable, you have to limit you trade between these lines and don’ let Greedy or Fear indicators to breaks your Goal and Rules lines.

Fear and Greedy oscillators:

The fear making of loss and Greedy of making more profits are very like bulls and bears that imagined fighting each others and move the market accordingly. Both of the fear and greedy trying to break your Discipline indicators lines.

Fear of losing maybe advising you to ignore setting stop loss for you trade and break one of your trade rules. Fear maybe asking you to close a profitable trade once the market start to move against you for awhile.

Greedy acts the same trying to break your rules but inversely of fear; Greedy will tell you to continue in a profitable trade although you Goal has been achieved seeking more pips. Greedy will advice you to remove your trailing stop hoping o make the maximum of he market.

As long as Fear indicator and Greedy indicator oscillate between the Discipline upper line - Goal line - and lower line - Rules line - you will constantly make profits with the Psycho-strategy!

Trading With Strategy

Trading successfully is by no means a simple matter. It requires time, market knowledge and market understanding and a large amount of self restraint. ACM does not manage accounts, nor does it give market advice, that is the job of money managers and introducing brokers.

As market professionals, we can however point the novice in the right direction and indicate what are correct trading tactics and considerations and what is total nonsense.

Anyone who says you can consistently make money in foreign exchange markets is being untruthful.

Foreign exchange by nature, is a volatile market. The practice of trading it by way of margin increases that volatility exponentially. We are therefore talking about a very 'fast market' which is naturally inconsistent. Following that precept, it is logical to say that in order to make a successful trade, a trader has to take into account technical and fundamental data and make an informed decision based on his perception of market sentiment and market expectation. Timing a trade correctly is probably the most important variable in trading successfully but invariably there will be times where a traders' timing will be off. Don't expect to generate returns on every trade.

Let's enumerate what a trader needs to do in order to put the best chances for profitable trades on his side :

Trade with money you can afford to lose :

Trading fx markets is speculative and can result in loss, it is also exciting, exhilarating and can be addictive. The more you are 'involved with your money' the harder it is to make a clear-headed decision. Money you have earned is precious, but money you need to survive should never be traded.

Identify the state of the market :

What is the market doing? Is it trending upwards, downwards, is it in a trading range. Is the trend strong or weak, did it begin long ago or does it look like a new trend that's forming. Getting a clear picture of the market situation is laying the groundwork for a successful trade.

Determine what time frame you're trading on :

Many traders get in the market without thinking when they would like to get out, after all the goal is to make money. This is true but when trading, one must extrapolate in his mind's eye the movement that one expects to happen. Within this extrapolation, resides a price evolution during a certain period of time. Attached to this is the idea of exit price. The importance of this is to mentally put your trade in perspective and although it is clearly impossible to know exactly when you will exit the market, it is important to define from the outset if you'll be 'scalping' (trying to get a few points off the market) trading intra-day, or going longer term.This will also determine what chart period you're looking at. If you trade many times a day, there's no point basing your technical analysis on a daily graph, you'll probably want to analyse 30 minute or hour graphs. Additionally it is important to know the different time periods when various financial centers enter and exit the market as this creates more or less volatility and liquidity and can influence market movements.

Time your trade :

You can be right about a potential market movement but be too early or too late when you enter the trade. Timing considerations are twofold, an expected market figure like CPI, retail sales or a federal reserve decision can consolidate a movement that's already underway. Timing your move means knowing what's expected and taking into account all considerations before trading. Technical analysis can help you identify when and at what price a move may occur. We will look at technical analysis in more detail later.If in doubt, stay out:If you're unsure about a trade and find you're hesitating, stay on the sidelines.

Trade logical transaction sizes :

Margin trading allows the fx trader a very large amount of leverage, trading at full margin capacity (in ACM's case 1% or 0.5%) can make for some very large profits or losses on an account. Scaling your trades so that you may re-enter the market or make transactions on other currencies is generally wiser. In short, don't trade amounts that can potentially wipe you out and don't put all your eggs in one basket. ACM offers the same rates regardless of transaction sizes so a customer has nothing to lose by starting small.

Gauge market sentiment :

Market sentiment is what most of the market is perceived to be feeling about the market and therefore what it is doing or will do. This is basically about trend. You may have heard the term 'the trend is your friend', this basically means that if you're in the right direction with a strong trend you will make successful trades. This of course is very simplistic, a trend is capable of reversal at any time. Technical and fundamental data can indicate however if the trend has begun long ago and if it is strong or weak.

Market expectation :

Market expectation relates to what most people are expecting as far as upcoming news is concerned. If people are expecting an interest rate to rise and it does, then there usually will not be much of a movement because the information will already have been 'discounted' by the market, alternatively if the adverse happens, markets will usually react violently.

Use what other traders use :

In a perfect world, every trader would be looking at a 14 day RSI and making trading decisions based on that. If that was the case, when RSI would go under the 30 level, everyone would buy and by consequence the price would rise. Needless to say, the world is not perfect and not all market participants follow the same technical indicators, draw the same trendlines and identify the same support & resistance levels. The great diversity of opinions and techniques used translates directly into price diversity. Traders however have a tendency to use a limited variety of technical tools. The most common are 9 and 14 day RSI, obvious trendlines and support levels, fibonnacci retracement, MACD and 9, 20 & 40 day exponential moving averages. The closer you get to what most traders are looking at, the more precise your estimations will be. The reason for this is simple arithmetic, larger numbers of buyers than sellers at a certain price will move the market up from that price and vice-versa.

Creating Profitable Forex Trading Systems

Creating Profitable Forex Trading Systems in Five Easy Steps

One rule of thumb that every aspiring entrepreneur should remember is that to make huge profits, you should know how to do it by yourself—and not rely on other’s efforts. Being independent from other people will help you determine what things are best for your business.

Such rule applies on all types of investments, including foreign currency trading, or mostly known as Forex trading. It cannot be denied that Forex is the largest existing market around the world, which is estimated to have an excess of 2 trillion U.S. dollars worth of foreign currencies are traded each day. It is larger than the magnitude of the New York Stock Exchange, which is approximately 50 billion U.S. dollars. Thus, Forex market exceeds all combined equity markets around the world.

With such huge wealth circulating around the Forex market, one of your financial goals is to grab a major slice of that $2 trillion average daily turnover in the market. How you will be able to get a substantial portion of that average turnover if you do not know how you will handle your Forex business? Although you cannot live in the market alone (you need business partners and/or financial advisers to help you along), only you can determine what the best Forex business there is for you.

To get huge profits out of your Forex trading career, you need to build your own profitable system—a trading system that will bring your not just hundreds but thousands of dollars worth of Forex revenues. Such trading system is available on the market, but as previously mentioned, you need to be independent—and you need to have your own Forex trading system that will help you achieve your financial goals.

For new traders, it is difficult for them to device their own trading system since they do not have too much knowledge about the Forex market. However, even a neophyte trader can device a trading system that will fit on his personal preference and needs—in just five easy steps!

Before we discuss the five easy steps towards a profitable Forex trading system, you need to learn first the three main characteristics of a successful Forex trading system. These are as follows :

1. A successful Forex trading system is simple. There is no need for a complicated trading system with too many rules. It is a proven truth that simple systems work better than complicated ones, and they have higher chances of success despite of the brutal characteristic of Forex trading.
2. A successful Forex trading system cuts losses and runs profits. Keep in mind that you need a trading system that gets the huge possible profits and eliminates losses quickly, if not instantly.
3. A successful Forex trading system follows long-term trends. You will never cover your losses if you are just generating small profits. Keep in mind that the Forex market is worth $2 trillion U.S. dollars, thus there is no point in trading in exchange for just small profits if you have the opportunity to make trades for larger revenues. Focus on long-term trends and you will be able to see better results.

Now, here are the five easy steps in building a profitable Forex trading system :

1. As previously mentioned, your trading system must be as simple as possible. Integrate few yet essential rules and an extensive investment management system.
2. Always look for long-term trends (preferably on a weekly basis), then shift to daily charts and to time entry. This will help you analyze market trends efficiently.
3. The ideal way of trading foreign currencies is through breakout method.
4. Always watch for any break that you will note on your chart, which is commonly confirmed by stochastic crossed with bearish divergence. This will be your great timing tool whether you will enter a certain deal or not.
5. You must integrate effective time management within your system. Time is gold and is one of your precious resources. Design a trading system that is time efficient—where you can maximize the potential of your time resources to generate huge profits.

Get away with complicated systems ; it will just ruin your entire Forex trading career. Build a simpler one and see for yourself how profitable it is.

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